A solid uptrend start for Ethena. Still a lot of fuel for higher imo.
Updates-
> Px just put in a fresh ~23wk high. First break of 200dma since February
> x3 Crypto bills just all passed in the US in the same wk. Particularly bullish for projects like Ethena focused on Stablecoins / Defi / bringing Tradfi onchain (Converge)
> In px discovery on Upbit (recently listed). Korean markets remain in a stablecoin bubble
> First time in 6 months average funding across $BTC + $ETH have broken above baseline funding at 11%. USDe yields are on the up, enhancing $ENA utility
> A major seed investor + advisor has been buying more coin on the open market
> Ethereum is gathering serious momentum. $ENA clearly proving it is a leading beta play, up ~75% in 10 days (vs $ETH up ~35% over same period)
> Converge catalyst now imminent
$ENA
Fundamentals are looking v strong here alongside px at htf range lows. In my view, this one performs v well through q3/q4.
> Big beneficiary from the new US pro crypto legislation coming out in H2
> $ENA resides at the core of three interwoven narratives that I believe will dominate mindshare in the crypto market for the coming months: Defi, Stablecoins, RWA
> Catalyst 1 (Q3): launch of Converge. A new RWA blockchain designed to integrate TradFi + DeFi by facilitating tokenized RWAs & stablecoin-based transactions. The chain will be backed by Ethena + Securitize’s ~$10 bn in assets. $ENA will be the sole central token used in the Converge eco, enhancing token utility
> Catalyst 2 (Q3): fee switch activation. Already approved, in the final stages of implementation. Risk Committee recently stated that Ethena is in a strong position to begin directing a portion of protocol revenue to sENA holders. Ethena generated c$350m in fees for the 12 months ending June 2025
> Direct beneficiary of expected cuts in US interest rates over H2. Unlike USDT or USDC, which rely on Treasury yields, USDe’s yield comes from delta-neutral strategies. Lower interest rates will reduce competitors’ yields but boost Ethena’s yields (through increased funding rates in crypto derivative markets)
> Im bullish on $ETH for H2, particularly given clear emergence of the treasury narrative - Ethena is a tier 1 beta play
Addressing ongoing unlocks:
1. Now linear flat monthly unlocks over H2 2025 - no increases in number of tokens/month or cliff events
2. Significant token utility enhancements coming soon w above mentioned catalysts
3. Circulating supply now stands at 43%
4. Last private sale round ($100m) was at $0.40c in Dec 2024
5. Tokens w unlocks can still perform well - you just need to time your positioning
End.
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