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Could Bitcoin (BTC) be headed for a continued downtrend? A Look At How It Might Perform With Current Economic Challenges

Economic Policies and Their Impact on Bitcoin

Recent economic policies, particularly those from the U.S. administration, are creating significant headwinds for risk-on assets like Bitcoin. The focus on reducing the U.S. deficit through government spending cuts, tariffs, and immigration policies is expected to impact the economy over the next six to nine months. These measures, while aimed at stabilizing the economy, could lead to a slow and painful market downturn.

Says Quinn Thompson, founder of crypto hedge fund Lekker Capital: "I could see it going back to a five-handle by end of year". (Source) A five-handle means a price between $50,000 to $59,999, which would put Bitcoin price just below $60K, an already 50% decline from its peak of $109K just a mere two months ago.

Bitcoin's Market Dynamics

Bitcoin's price has been under pressure due to macroeconomic uncertainties, including trade tariffs and monetary policies. The Network Value to Transactions (NVT) Golden Cross indicator suggests that Bitcoin might be overvalued, indicating potential for further price declines unless transaction volumes increase.

Technical Analysis and Market Sentiment

Technical indicators show Bitcoin struggling to maintain support levels, with recent price movements reflecting broader market trends. The market value to realized value (MVRV) ratio suggests a cooling market, while the Fear & Greed Index indicates prevailing bearish sentiment.

Historical Trends and Future Scenarios

Historically, Bitcoin has experienced significant rallies following major declines. Current market conditions resemble past cycles, where Bitcoin eventually rebounded after periods of volatility. However, the ongoing bull market is mature, and the potential for a 70% decline remains a concern.

Will Bitcoin BTC continue on a downward trend?

Bitcoin's recent price movements are influenced by economic policies and technical factors. While short-term risks persist, historical resilience and potential future events, such as Federal Reserve rate cuts, offer hope for recovery. Investors should closely monitor economic developments and key price levels to navigate the current market landscape.

This article is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered as professional advice; AI was used to assist in content creation.

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Este conteúdo é fornecido apenas para fins informativos e pode abranger produtos que não estão disponíveis na sua região. Não se destina a fornecer (i) aconselhamento ou recomendações de investimento; (ii) uma oferta ou solicitação para comprar, vender ou deter ativos de cripto/digitais, ou (iii) aconselhamento financeiro, contabilístico, jurídico ou fiscal. As detenções de ativos de cripto/digitais, incluindo criptomoedas estáveis, envolvem um nível de risco elevado e podem sofrer grandes flutuações. Deve ponderar cuidadosamente se o trading ou a detenção de ativos de cripto/digitais são adequados para si, tendo em conta a sua situação financeira. Consulte o seu profissional jurídico/fiscal/de investimentos para tirar dúvidas sobre as suas circunstâncias específicas. As informações (incluindo dados de mercado e informações estatísticas, caso existam) apresentadas nesta publicação destinam-se apenas para fins de informação geral. Embora tenham sido tomadas todas as precauções razoáveis na preparação destes dados e gráficos, a OKX não assume qualquer responsabilidade por erros ou omissões aqui expressos.

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