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Could Bitcoin (BTC) be headed for a continued downtrend? A Look At How It Might Perform With Current Economic Challenges

Economic Policies and Their Impact on Bitcoin

Recent economic policies, particularly those from the U.S. administration, are creating significant headwinds for risk-on assets like Bitcoin. The focus on reducing the U.S. deficit through government spending cuts, tariffs, and immigration policies is expected to impact the economy over the next six to nine months. These measures, while aimed at stabilizing the economy, could lead to a slow and painful market downturn.

Says Quinn Thompson, founder of crypto hedge fund Lekker Capital: "I could see it going back to a five-handle by end of year". (Source) A five-handle means a price between $50,000 to $59,999, which would put Bitcoin price just below $60K, an already 50% decline from its peak of $109K just a mere two months ago.

Bitcoin's Market Dynamics

Bitcoin's price has been under pressure due to macroeconomic uncertainties, including trade tariffs and monetary policies. The Network Value to Transactions (NVT) Golden Cross indicator suggests that Bitcoin might be overvalued, indicating potential for further price declines unless transaction volumes increase.

Technical Analysis and Market Sentiment

Technical indicators show Bitcoin struggling to maintain support levels, with recent price movements reflecting broader market trends. The market value to realized value (MVRV) ratio suggests a cooling market, while the Fear & Greed Index indicates prevailing bearish sentiment.

Historical Trends and Future Scenarios

Historically, Bitcoin has experienced significant rallies following major declines. Current market conditions resemble past cycles, where Bitcoin eventually rebounded after periods of volatility. However, the ongoing bull market is mature, and the potential for a 70% decline remains a concern.

Will Bitcoin BTC continue on a downward trend?

Bitcoin's recent price movements are influenced by economic policies and technical factors. While short-term risks persist, historical resilience and potential future events, such as Federal Reserve rate cuts, offer hope for recovery. Investors should closely monitor economic developments and key price levels to navigate the current market landscape.

This article is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered as professional advice; AI was used to assist in content creation.

Disclaimer
Questo contenuto è fornito esclusivamente a scopo informativo e potrebbe riguardare prodotti non disponibili nella tua area geografica. Non ha lo scopo di fornire (i) consulenza in materia di investimenti o una raccomandazione in materia di investimenti; (ii) un'offerta o un sollecito all'acquisto, alla vendita, o detenzione di asset/criptovalute digitali, o (iii) consulenza finanziaria, contabile, legale, o fiscale. La detenzione di asset/criptovalute digitali, comprese le stablecoin, comporta un alto grado di rischio e può fluttuare notevolmente. Dovresti valutare attentamente se il trading o la detenzione di asset/criptovalute digitali è adatto a te alla luce della tua condizione finanziaria. Consulta il tuo consulente legale/fiscale/investimento per domande sulle tue circostanze specifiche. Le informazioni (compresi dati sul mercato e informazioni statistiche, se presenti) disponibili in questo post sono fornite esclusivamente a scopo informativo. Sebbene sia stata prestata la massima cura nella preparazione di questi dati e grafici, non si accetta alcuna responsabilità per eventuali errori di fatto o omissioni in essi contenuti.© 2025 OKX. Il presente articolo può essere riprodotto o distribuito nella sua interezza, oppure è possibile utilizzarne degli estratti di massimo 100 parole, purché tale uso non sia commerciale. Qualsiasi riproduzione o distribuzione dell'intero articolo deve inoltre indicare in modo ben visibile: "Questo articolo è © 2025 OKX e viene utilizzato con autorizzazione". Gli estratti consentiti devono citare il titolo dell'articolo e includere l'attribuzione, ad esempio "Titolo articolo, [nome dell'autore, se applicabile], © 2025 OKX". Alcuni contenuti possono essere generati o assistiti da strumenti di intelligenza artificiale (IA). Non sono consentite opere derivate né altri utilizzi di questo articolo.

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